Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇲🇽

Alexa Grasso

17-5-1

Valentina Shevchenko

26-4-1

44%10% Draw46%

Grasso

Shevchenko

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Valentina Shevchenko a 46% edge over Alexa Grasso in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alexa Grasso wins 74% vs Valentina Shevchenko at 84%

Grasso

8.9

Shevchenko

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 31%

Grasso

3.5

Shevchenko

3.7

DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 87%

Grasso

8.6

Shevchenko

9.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Grasso

5.0

Shevchenko

5.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 38 years old

Grasso

8.0

Shevchenko

4.9

ExperienceWeight: ★★

23 bouts vs 31 bouts

Grasso

7.9

Shevchenko

10.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.