BREAKINGAlexander Volkanovski vs Ezzard Charles — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAlexander Volkanovski vs Ezzard Charles — stats-based prediction

Alexander Volkanovski vs Ezzard Charles

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇦🇺

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
VS

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1
44%10% Draw46%
Volkanovski
Charles
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ezzard Charles a 46% edge over Alexander Volkanovski in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Alexander Volkanovski wins 88% vs Ezzard Charles at 82%

Volkanovski
10.0
Charles
9.9
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 0%

Volkanovski
5.6
Charles
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Volkanovski
2.0
Charles
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 83%

Volkanovski
9.6
Charles
9.1
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 147 bouts

Volkanovski
3.7
Charles
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 105 years old

Volkanovski
5.4
Charles
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.