BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Deontay Wilder — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Deontay Wilder — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Deontay Wilder

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
44%10% Draw46%
Joshua
Wilder
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 46% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Deontay Wilder at 91%

Joshua
10.0
Wilder
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Wilder
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 202cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
4.2
Wilder
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 93%

Joshua
9.8
Wilder
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 40 years old

Joshua
6.5
Wilder
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 55 bouts

Joshua
7.4
Wilder
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.