BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Errol Spence — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Errol Spence — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Errol Spence

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS

Errol Spence

29-1-0
48%10% Draw42%
Joshua
Spence
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 48% edge over Errol Spence in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Errol Spence at 97%

Joshua
10.0
Spence
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Spence
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
7.0
Spence
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 97%

Joshua
9.8
Spence
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 30 bouts

Joshua
10.0
Spence
8.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 36 years old

Joshua
6.5
Spence
6.9
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.