BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
43%10% Draw47%
Joshua
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 47% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Joshua
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 72%

Joshua
0.0
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
6.0
Ngannou
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 86%

Joshua
9.8
Ngannou
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 21 bouts

Joshua
10.0
Ngannou
6.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 40 years old

Joshua
6.5
Ngannou
3.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.