BREAKINGArtur Beterbiev vs Sergey Kovalev — stats-based predictionBREAKINGArtur Beterbiev vs Sergey Kovalev — stats-based prediction

Artur Beterbiev vs Sergey Kovalev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇷🇺

Artur Beterbiev

22-1-0
VS

Sergey Kovalev

42-5-1
43%10% Draw47%
Beterbiev
Kovalev
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Sergey Kovalev a 47% edge over Artur Beterbiev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Artur Beterbiev wins 96% vs Sergey Kovalev at 88%

Beterbiev
10.0
Kovalev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Beterbiev
0.0
Kovalev
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 184cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Beterbiev
5.2
Kovalev
4.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

96% survival rate vs 90%

Beterbiev
10.0
Kovalev
9.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

23 bouts vs 48 bouts

Beterbiev
5.8
Kovalev
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 43 years old

Beterbiev
3.0
Kovalev
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.