Conor McGregor vs Islam Makhachev
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪
Conor McGregor
22-6-0VS
🇷🇺
Islam Makhachev
28-1-047%10% Draw43%
McGregor
Makhachev
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO
Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 47% edge over Islam Makhachev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Islam Makhachev at 97%
McGregor
9.4
Makhachev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
86% stoppage rate vs 18%
McGregor
10.0
Makhachev
2.1
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 174cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
McGregor
4.2
Makhachev
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★
79% survival rate vs 97%
McGregor
8.6
Makhachev
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
38 years old vs 34 years old
McGregor
5.2
Makhachev
8.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★
28 bouts vs 29 bouts
McGregor
9.7
Makhachev
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.