BREAKINGDricus du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based predictionBREAKINGDricus du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya — stats-based prediction

Dricus du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇿🇦

Dricus du Plessis

23-3-0
VS
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
42%10% Draw48%
Plessis
Adesanya
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 48% edge over Dricus du Plessis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Dricus du Plessis wins 88% vs Israel Adesanya at 80%

Plessis
10.0
Adesanya
9.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

39% stoppage rate vs 67%

Plessis
4.7
Adesanya
8.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 185cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Plessis
3.4
Adesanya
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 80%

Plessis
9.7
Adesanya
8.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 37 years old

Plessis
8.0
Adesanya
6.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 30 bouts

Plessis
8.9
Adesanya
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.