BREAKINGErrol Spence vs Audley Harrison — stats-based predictionBREAKINGErrol Spence vs Audley Harrison — stats-based prediction

Errol Spence vs Audley Harrison

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Errol Spence

29-1-0
VS
🇬🇧

Audley Harrison

38-7-0
41%10% Draw49%
Spence
Harrison
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Audley Harrison a 49% edge over Errol Spence in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Errol Spence wins 97% vs Audley Harrison at 84%

Spence
10.0
Harrison
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Spence
0.0
Harrison
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 197cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Spence
1.0
Harrison
9.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 84%

Spence
10.0
Harrison
9.3
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 54 years old

Spence
6.9
Harrison
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 45 bouts

Spence
7.3
Harrison
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.