BREAKINGErrol Spence vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionBREAKINGErrol Spence vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Errol Spence vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Errol Spence

29-1-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
46%10% Draw44%
Spence
Crawford
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Errol Spence a 46% edge over Terence Crawford in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Errol Spence wins 97% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Spence
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Spence
0.0
Crawford
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Spence
5.4
Crawford
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 100%

Spence
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 39 years old

Spence
6.9
Crawford
4.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 42 bouts

Spence
7.7
Crawford
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.