BREAKINGGeorges St-Pierre vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGGeorges St-Pierre vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Georges St-Pierre vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇦

Georges St-Pierre

26-2-0
VS
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
44%10% Draw46%
St-Pierre
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khabib Nurmagomedov a 46% edge over Georges St-Pierre in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Georges St-Pierre wins 93% vs Khabib Nurmagomedov at 100%

St-Pierre
10.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

31% stoppage rate vs 28%

St-Pierre
3.7
Nurmagomedov
3.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

St-Pierre
5.0
Nurmagomedov
5.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

St-Pierre
10.0
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

45 years old vs 38 years old

St-Pierre
3.0
Nurmagomedov
5.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 29 bouts

St-Pierre
9.7
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.