BREAKINGJake Paul vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Gervonta Davis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS

Gervonta Davis

31-0-1
45%10% Draw45%
Paul
Davis
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Gervonta Davis a 45% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Gervonta Davis at 97%

Paul
10.0
Davis
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Paul
0.0
Davis
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
7.0
Davis
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 100%

Paul
9.6
Davis
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 32 bouts

Paul
6.0
Davis
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 31 years old

Paul
8.0
Davis
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.