Manny Pacquiao vs Ryan Garcia
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇵🇭
Manny Pacquiao
73-8-3VS
Ryan Garcia
28-2-042%10% Draw48%
Pacquiao
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 48% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%
Pacquiao
10.0
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
0% stoppage rate vs 0%
Pacquiao
0.0
Garcia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 166cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Pacquiao
2.6
Garcia
7.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★
90% survival rate vs 93%
Pacquiao
10.0
Garcia
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★
84 bouts vs 30 bouts
Pacquiao
10.0
Garcia
4.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
47 years old vs 28 years old
Pacquiao
3.0
Garcia
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.