BREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Oleksandr Usyk vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Usyk
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Oleksandr Usyk wins 100% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Usyk
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Usyk
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Usyk
3.6
Joshua
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 89%

Usyk
10.0
Joshua
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 37 bouts

Usyk
7.2
Joshua
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 37 years old

Usyk
3.7
Joshua
6.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.