BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Gervonta Davis — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Gervonta Davis

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS

Gervonta Davis

31-0-1
47%10% Draw43%
Garcia
Davis
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 47% edge over Gervonta Davis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Gervonta Davis at 97%

Garcia
10.0
Davis
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Davis
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
7.0
Davis
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

Garcia
10.0
Davis
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 32 bouts

Garcia
9.5
Davis
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 31 years old

Garcia
8.0
Davis
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.