BREAKINGRyōta Murata vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyōta Murata vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based prediction

Ryōta Murata vs Teófilo Stevenson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇯🇵

Ryōta Murata

19-3-0
VS
🇨🇺

Teófilo Stevenson

332-22-8
38%10% Draw52%
Murata
Stevenson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Teófilo Stevenson a 52% edge over Ryōta Murata in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryōta Murata wins 86% vs Teófilo Stevenson at 92%

Murata
10.0
Stevenson
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Murata
0.0
Stevenson
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 182cm / 196cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Murata
2.2
Stevenson
7.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 94%

Murata
9.5
Stevenson
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 362 bouts

Murata
2.5
Stevenson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 74 years old

Murata
3.0
Stevenson
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.