Terence Crawford vs Manny Pacquiao
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Terence Crawford
42-0-0VS
🇵🇭
Manny Pacquiao
73-8-346%10% Draw44%
Crawford
Pacquiao
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Terence Crawford a 46% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Terence Crawford wins 100% vs Manny Pacquiao at 87%
Crawford
10.0
Pacquiao
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
0% stoppage rate vs 0%
Crawford
0.0
Pacquiao
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 173cm / 166cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Crawford
6.4
Pacquiao
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★
100% survival rate vs 90%
Crawford
10.0
Pacquiao
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★
42 bouts vs 84 bouts
Crawford
6.0
Pacquiao
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
39 years old vs 47 years old
Crawford
4.4
Pacquiao
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.