BREAKINGTyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGTyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Tyson Fury vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Tyson Fury

38-2-1
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
44%10% Draw46%
Fury
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 46% edge over Tyson Fury in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tyson Fury wins 93% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Fury
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 72%

Fury
0.0
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 206cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Fury
7.0
Ngannou
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

95% survival rate vs 86%

Fury
10.0
Ngannou
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

41 bouts vs 21 bouts

Fury
10.0
Ngannou
6.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 40 years old

Fury
5.3
Ngannou
3.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.